"Copper smelters in China wary of BHP-Anglo tie-up"

" Copper smelters in China wary of BHP-Anglo tie-up \r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n\r\nChinese smelters, the world\u2019s biggest buyers of mined copper, are concerned they will lose power to negotiate prices if BHP Group, known locally as \u201cthe big miner\u201d, succeeds in its bid for rival Anglo American.\r\n\r\nBHP, the world\u2019s largest listed mining group, is\u00a0 fine-tuning an offer that could make it the biggest producer of copper, a metal in high demand as the world seeks to shift towards electric vehicles and a lower carbon economy.\r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n\r\nThe proposed takeover would give BHP control of roughly 10% of global mined supplies, surpassing Chile\u2019s Codelco and Freeport-McMoRan.\r\n\r\n\u201cThis is not good news for China given the heavy reliance on external supply, and Chinese companies hold limited resources,\u201d Zhang Weixin, a metal analyst at China Futures, said of the potential tie-up.\r\n\r\nThe China Smelters Purchase Team (CSPT), a group of top smelters that negotiates with miners on yearly prices to treat and refine copper, has no current plans to urge Beijing to investigate the deal, three sources familiar with the matter said.\r\n\r\nCSPT\u2019s head could not be reached for comment and BHP declined to comment.\r\n\r\nChina\u2019s State Administration for Market Regulation also did not immediately respond to a request for comment.\r\n\r\nThere is a precedent of Chinese regulators getting involved in deals that impact copper supply.\r\n\r\nIn 2011, Glencore agreed to China\u2019s demand that it sell its interest in Xstrata\u2019s Las Bambas copper project in Peru to clinch their multi-billion dollar deal.\r\n\r\nThe world\u2019s leading consumer of the metal, China imported 27.54 million metric tons of copper ore and concentrate in 2023, worth $60.1 billion, customs data showed, more than half of global supplies.\r\n Tight market \r\nIn China, BHP is most active in the spot market, where it sells to domestic smelters using tenders, according to smelters and analysts, signing contracts for fixed volumes to be priced via an index provided by third parties.\r\n\r\nBy comparison, rival miners Freeport and Antofagasta agree an annual fixed sale price with China\u2019s smelters that is widely used as an industry benchmark.\r\n\r\nChinese copper smelters said the prospect of more supply being sold under index pricing could increase uncertainty for costs and planning.\r\n\r\nNone of the smelter officials wished to be identified given the sensitivity of the matter.\r\n\r\nOne of them said index pricing meant smelters would be unable to estimate production costs and to draw up a full-year production plan.\r\n\r\n Smelters are still recovering from supply shortages \u00a0driven by the December closure of the First Quantum\u2019s Cobre Panama mine, which drove down treatment charges (TCs) \u2013 their main source of income.\r\n\r\nTreatment charges are fees paid by miners for converting raw materials into metal. They fall when mine output decreases as smelters have to compete for concentrate.\r\n\r\nLast week, spot treatment charges (TCs) in China turned negative for the first time since pricing agency Fastmarkets started the index in 2013.\r\n\r\nThat compares with 2024 benchmark TCs settled between Chinese smelters and Freeport and Antofagasta at $80 per ton.\r\n\r\nMuch as consolidation raises concerns, however, William Adams, head of base metals research at Fastmarkets in London, said it could calm the market longer term by tackling the high cost and risk of developing mines.\r\n\r\n\u201cLook at the current tightness in spot treatment and refining charges, which is because there is insufficient mine supply to meeting smelter\u2019s demand, highlights the need to invest more upstream,\u201d he said.\r\n\r\n \r\n \r\n \r\n "

"Copper smelters in China wary of BHP-Anglo tie-up"

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