By midnight of December 7, 2020, CODEO had received data of vote count from its 1,502 PVT Observers who were deployed to a nationally representative random sample of polling stations located in every region and constituency of the country.
CODEO at this point can confidently verify the outcomes of the presidential election results as announced by the EC. The findings presented in this statement are based on data received from all 1,502 PVT polling stations across the 275 constituencies in the country’s 16 regions.
The data was thoroughly checked for accuracy and internal consistency. Table 1 below shows the percentages of the valid votes garnered by each of the twelve presidential candidates announced by the EC compared to the PVT estimates.
In general, each candidate’s official result closely matches the PVT estimate and falls within the estimated confidence of 95% range and the associated margin of error.
Also, the PVT ranking of the presidential candidates based on their share of the valid votes received is largely similar to what was put out by the EC.
Aside the fact that the PVT estimates of candidates’ vote share received generally match the EC’s official results, the PVT estimated rejected ballots of 2.25% with a margin of error of ±0.11% is also consistent with the EC’s figure of 2.33%.
The official voter turnout rate of 79.0% announced by the EC is slightly outside the PVT voter turnout confidence range based on the estimated turnout rate of 79.69% and error margin of ±0.46% (Table2).
It is worth noting, however, that this could be due to exclusion of the outstanding results from Techiman.
Read press statement below:
CODEO 2020 Presidential Election Result Verification Statement (PVT)_10 December 2020 (FINAL-FINAL) by Fuaad Dodoo on Scribd